The 2023 U.S. Open tees off Thursday at Los Angeles Country Club. It will be the first major at the course as the PGA Tour returns to it for the first time since 1940. Scottie Scheffler, the world’s No. 1-ranked golfer, is the 13-2 favorite to win in the 2023 U.S. Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook. He is followed in the 2023 U.S. Open field by Jon Rahm, who won the 2023 Masters, at 8-1 and Brooks Koepka, who won the PGA Championship, at 17-2. Other top 2023 U.S. Open contenders include Rory McIlroy (11-1), Justin Thomas (25-1), Jordan Spieth (25-1), Dustin Johnson (28-1), Bryson DeChambeau (40-1) and Phil Mickelson (150-1).
Before locking in your 2023 U.S. Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the 2023 U.S. Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $10,200 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn’t won a PGA Tour event since 2018.
This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 U.S. Open field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard.
Top 2023 U.S. Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the U.S. Open 2023: Max Homa, a six-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn’t even crack the top 10. Homa is just one of four players to record multiple wins this season, but he’s been inconsistent in recent weeks.
The 32-year-old is coming off a top-10 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge, but he’s finished 43rd or worse in four of his last six starts on the PGA Tour. He’s also struggled on golf’s biggest stages, finishing 43rd or worse in his last four starts at a major championship, which includes a 47th-place showing at the U.S. Open in 2022. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2023 U.S. Open field. See which golfers to fade here.
Another surprise: Jordan Spieth, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 13-time PGA winner has been battling a wrist injury since May, which could have hindered him at the PGA Championship, where he finished 29th before missing the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge the following weekend.
But Spieth rebounded with a strong showing at the Memorial Tournament, finishing fifth. The Dallas native is seeking his fourth major championship and second U.S. Open title after winning the 2015 U.S. Open. He is 20th on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained with an above-average score in all five components of the score’s calculation. With no true weakness in his ability, health may be the biggest worry for the U.S. Open. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 U.S. Open picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with U.S. Open odds 2023 of 18-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s 2023 U.S. Open picks here.
So, who will win the U.S. Open 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 U.S. Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed nine golf majors, including this year’s Masters.
2023 U.S. Open odds, field
See full the U.S. Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +650
Jon Rahm +800
Brooks Koepka +850
Viktor Hovland +1000
Rory McIlroy +1100
Patrick Cantlay +1400
Max Homa +1600
Xander Schauffele +1800
Justin Thomas +2500
Jordan Spieth +2500
Collin Morikawa +2500
Cameron Smith +2500
Tony Finau +2500
Dustin Johnson +2800
Cameron Young +3500
Matt Fitzpatrick +3500
Tyrrell Hatton +4000
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Bryson DeChambeau +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Jason Day +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4500
Joaquin Niemann +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Shane Lowry +5000
Rickie Fowler +5000
Sahith Theegala +5500
Justin Rose +5000
Wyndham Clark +7000
Corey Conners +7500
Joonhyung (Tom) Kim +8500
Patrick Reed +8500
Adam Scott +9000
Talor Gooch +10000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Louis Oosthuizen +12500
Keegan Bradley +12500
Si-Woo Kim +12500
Russell Henley +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Mito Pereira +12500
Kurt Kitayama +12500
Keith Mitchell +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Harris English +15000
Carlos Ortiz +15000
Justin Suh +15000
Phil Mickelson +15000
Abraham Ancer +15000
Min Woo Lee +15000
Lucas Herbert +17500
Victor Perez +17500
Seamus Power +17500
Adrian Meronk +17500
Taylor Moore +17500
Cam Davis +17500
Thomas Pieters +20000
Chris Kirk +20000
Eddie Pepperell +20000
Austin Eckroat +20000
K.H. Lee +20000
Taylor Montgomery +20000
Harold Varner +20000
Jason Kokrak +20000
